Ten Kate Honda's James Toseland has the World Superbike Championship firmly under his control, right? He's up by 41 points over Yamaha's Nori Haga with just four races left in the season.
But he did have a 66-point advantage before the last event began. Are we watching a New York Mets-style collapse from JT, who is heading to MotoGP at the end of the year?
Toseland chalked the Lausitz problems to bad luck and a mysterious rear grip issue in race one.
The British rider earned his points lead in part because he's won eight races and his three main rivals (Haga, Ducati's Troy Bayliss, and Suzuki's Max Biaggi) found themselves on the ground and out of the points too often this season.
If the Honda rider can finish all the races, he should be okay. But stranger things have happened. Keep your eyes peeled.