The first day of the first test of the season is a difficult time to analyze because, as they say in Pentagon hearings, "The data might not yet support a conclusion, Senator."
Conventional wisdom suggests that the riders who stayed on the same package as the previous season have the advantage, and will always be first day fast while those who changed bikes might still be trying to figure it all out two weeks from now.
That said, the comments made today by Cal Crutchlow after the first day of the first Sepang test might be sobering for a Ducati fan to read.
"We rode the GP13 in the morning and the GP14 in the afternoon," he said, "and it's clear we have some work to do because the bikes are not too dissimilar at all. Most of the changes are cosmetic, but the feeling of the bikes is similar."
Crutchlow suffered a small crash early on but was unhurt.